Top 10 Best-Selling Cars: September 2009

On to our best-sellers. The list is nearly the same as last month with lower overall sales and mostly the same players.

Top 10 Best-Sellers

• Ford F -Series: 33,877
• Toyota Camry: 25,745
• Honda Accord: 20,826
• Toyota Corolla; 20,741
• Chevy Silverado: 19,401
• Honda Civic: 16,093
• Honda CR-V: 14,554
• Dodge Ram: 13,452
• Chevy Impala: 13,047
• Nissan Altima: 12,149

Source:

2009 model year overall sales:

Auto sales tumbled 41 percent from August’s buoyant levels, to 745,997 cars and light trucks. Compared with last September, they were down 22.7 percent. On a seasonally adjusted, annual basis, the selling pace fell to 9.22 million vehicles last month, from 12.57 million a year earlier.

However, stripping out the effects of the “cash for clunkers program,” which pulled ahead some sales and depleted inventories, auto executives said underlying demand appeared to be increasing gradually, in line with the fragile economic recovery.

“We feel the economy (and) the ‘cash for clunkers’ stimulus is moving the industry in the right direction,” said Michael DiGiovanni, General Motors Co.’s director of global market analysis.

“We’re cautiously optimistic about the fourth quarter,” he added. “Clearly, the economy’s gaining momentum.”

But GM and Chrysler Group LLC, which have both been through bankruptcy this year, registered the steepest declines in the market last month. Chrysler’s sales fell 42.1 percent, while GM’s dropped 45 percent, from very high levels a year earlier.

Helped by rising demand for its passenger cars, including the new Taurus, Ford limited its sales decline to just 5.1 percent.

That was less than the declines registered by Japan’s leading automakers. Toyota Motor Corp.’s U.S. sales were down 12.6 percent, Honda Motor Co.’s were 20.1 percent lower and Nissan Motor Co.’s sales fell 7 percent.

Auto Sales and Cash For Clunkers

The government’s Cash For Clunkers party mess cleanup is getting uglier by the minute. From Citigroup:

September Auto Sales Currently Running at an 8.9 Million Unit SAAR (64.8% reporting)

With 64.8% of the industry now reporting, we are seeing a sales rate for September of 8.9 million units SAAR. This lower pace appears to be heavily influenced by the pay back from the cash-for-clunkers program as luxury brands do not appear to be having the same large drop as more utilitarian vehicle makers.

And this is what disastrous government policy looks like when charted — annual auto sales rate (SAAR):

The net appears to be it cannibalized future sales, just like most people in the know said it would. The transient nature of government intervention in markets becomes obvious. I wonder what GM will look like in a few years.

From Petroleum Shortage To Lithium Shortage

I wonder why they call Lithium a ‘rare earth element(REE)’?

Most of these miracle electric cars, which aren’t miracles at all once you read the fine print, or drive one — Use a rare earth metal “Lithium” for their batteries and other rare earth metals for their drive motors. Among the rare earths that would be most affected in a shortage is neodymium, the key component of an alloy used to make the high-power, lightweight magnets for electric motors of hybrid cars, such as the Prius, Honda Insight and Ford Focus, as well as in generators for wind turbines.

Dysprosium and terbium are also used to make very powerful but lightweight magnets; terbium is also used to make computer monitors. Ceramics and stainless steels are among the other ‘common materials’ that make use of REEs. Not just for motors and generators, REES are used in everything: glass polishing, ceramics, automotive catalytic converters, computer monitors, lighting, televisions and pharmaceuticals, to name a few products making use of REEs.

Most of the batteries for electric car use are either nickel-metal hydride, or lithium-ion batteries. Did you note the part about the windmill turbines? So it’s just not cars, it’s the windmill scam as well. The REE neodymium is used to make the rare earth magnets in motors and generators.

And all this to avoid the sticky issue of why not just build some nuclear power plants.

Wean vehicles off of one resource — petroleum — and get them hooked on other much more scarce resources, lithium and neodymium. That’s what some critics have raised about switching over to electric cars that use lithium-ion batteries, since the U.S. imports most of its lithium from Chile and Argentina, while Bolivia has enough deposits to become a major lithium provider. But amid all the hubbub about the looming lithium squeeze, another resource trend is taking shape that has the potential to drive some big changes in advanced battery and vehicle technology: a group of metals known as rare earth elements, or REE.

According to Lux Research analyst Jacob Grose, “Rare earths are used very much in nickel metal hydride batteries,” like the Toyota Prius and Honda Insight. “Even though…hybrids use only a fraction of the worldwide output of these metals, if there is a shortage and prices rise, it will definitely lead to cost increases in today’s hybrids.”

Currently China controls about 90+% of the world’s REE markets, and one of the techniques that China uses is to prevent the shipments of the materials, but allow the shipments of the finished goods. To avoid the bans, motor and generator manufacturers move their operations to China, and their jobs.

But isn’t that Obama’s goal, drive up costs so much that everyone has to walk or ride bicycles? In the George Orwell movie “1984″ people had bicycle powered electric generators in their apartments, so they could lite up one light bulb to see, if they could get someone to pedal the stationary bicycle.

Did you know that pound for pound, batteries are about 1/20 the energy of a gallon of gasoline? And did you know that the world has sufficient uranium for 100’s of years of use?

The Things Diesels Do

Get very good mileage, something you don’t see in America because of congressional laws against ‘the dirty diesel engines. But not so fast, diesels aren’t ‘dirty’ anymore. In fact they can be very fuel efficient.

Volkswagen’s electric-free diesel offerings are putting hybrids to shame — New Volkswagen Polo, Golf, Passat Diesels to get 71.3, 61.9, 53.4 MPG respectively.

This week at a Automotive Press Association luncheon in Detroit, Jim O’Donnell, chairman and CEO of BMW’s U.S. operations reaffirmed his company’s strong commitment to pushing diesel in the U.S. as an alternative or supplement to hybrid vehicles. BMW is jumping into electrics as well with the electric MINI E and its new X6 and 7 ActiveHybrids. However, he says that diesel’s impressive performance is driving sales of the 335ds and X5s. He also hinted that a 5-Series diesel may be coming next year as well.

Among the ways Volkswagen has fine-tuned its diesel performance to sip fuel is its recalibration of these engines and reductions to their idle speed. To further reduce idle losses, it’s vehicles include an automatic start-stop system, low rolling resistance tires and reduced aerodynamic drag thanks to lower front air dams and rocker panel extensions.

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