It’s getting close to tell the TRUTH time polls!!! Under three weeks and things get truthful….
The other thing is every pollster knows the first debate is basically the only debate most people see.And the numbers have settled a bit as the viewing results come in about 67 million watched the first debate … a much bigger audience than 2008.
Both national and swing-state polls are beginning to tighten in the presidential race between President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney. It’s a signal that an expected Romney bump is starting to take shape after his consensus win in the first presidential debate on Wednesday.
Polls that track both national and swing state voting have shown nothing but bad news for the president over the last couple of days.
So this is how they now stack up…
- Gallup: Romney is starting to close in on Obama, trailing by only 3 points in the seven-day rolling average.
- Rasmussen: Rasmussen has had wild swings and tends to be Republican-leaning this election, but Romney holds a 2-point advantage here.
- Reuters/Ipsos: Here, the race has tightened from a 6-point Obama lead pre-debate to only a 2-point lead on Friday. But Saturday didn’t provide any further bounce for Romney in the online survey.
- And in swing states….:
- Florida: Two polls — from Rasmussen and We Ask America — found Romney in the lead here on Friday by 2 and 3 points, respectively.
- Virginia: Romney with 1- and 3-point leads, respectively.
- Colorado: After Obama slipped up in the debate at the University of Denver, he saw a big, 7-point swing in this state in a Gravis Marketing survey. Romney now leads 49-46, after trailing 50-46 pre-debate.
- Wisconsin: Public Policy Polling found that Obama’s lead had tightened from 7 points in its last survey to just 2 points post-debate
But they are just polls…. A Few more knock-outs in the next debates ought to show Obama as the lacking seriousness President he is, one who is mostly out playing golf and fund raising, than actually being, President.
The EMPTY CHAIR
Now everyone is beginning to see the light … I’m inclined to think it has fundamentally altered the race, this close to the election when people start to pay attention for a few reasons. Without no one to intervene – Romney had his first opportunity to stand on the same stage as Obama as an equal and talk over the heads of the media directly to voters. That would have helped him even if Obama had done better in the debate, by both humanizing Romney while elevating his stature. With Romney clearly and decisively out-debating Obama, it has elevated him perhaps past Obama in stature, a very bad outcome for an incumbent — and a bell that is almost impossible to UNRING. That’s why I considered the first debate the most important of the three. There likely will be few people who need see more…