Hurricanes Way Down In 2013 …

October 25, 2013

Cold Nights Ahead to Bring Frost, Freeze Threat to South…

Atlantic hurricane season quietest in 45 years…

Fine with me…

 


Climate Change And The Hurricane Drought

September 15, 2013

It’s fine to blame climate change for extreme weather, just don’t mention the Hurricane current drought ….::: Don’t blame climate change for extreme weather.

You know we have our lamestream media template to keep up after all.

And here I bet you thought hurricanes were supposed to obey the Goracle, and be stronger and more often. So much fo mythology …

People in Florida are not disappointed, not as much as the people in WDC.


Missed Us By That Much

August 27, 2012

Now that I now have everything shuttered, and everything secured

The storm never materialized.

Now I have to reverse the whole shuttering process. I wish I had those magic disappearing shutters.

Light posting days ahead.

Then liniment and rest … sheesh… Croak.

I hope nothing important happens.

And then it starts raining … sigh.


What The Lamestream Promised Obama And What Nature Actually Delievered — Two Different Things

August 29, 2011

The Lamestream delivered their Category 5 coverage, but nature wimped out at Cat 1. Why the disparity?

Simple answer, the lamestream’s desire for a show where Obama could strut his stuff. Why do you think he went to the NHC/FEMA, instead of working on his jobs plan, which is more important to you?

What they got was this our dear reader at the hurry up and wait position:
cub scout OblameO yawns

Clearly not what was hyped for. The in charge leader of the storm, not the bumbling Bush. Were the hot winds of nonstop media hype more powerful than the actual storm?

You can certainly argue that Irene wasn’t overhyped, since the storm caused at least 18 deaths, widespread flooding and power outages for more than 1 million customers. You can also make the case that more people might have died were it not for the unusually expansive evacuation orders and the media coverage that they received.

On the other hand, the nonstop TV hyping of worst-case scenarios even after more-responsible forecasters saw as early as Thursday that Irene would not be a major hurricane caused millions to expect something far, far worse – “the East Coast Katrina,” or maybe the water wall from The Ten Commandments – than what showed up.

Longtime media writer Howard Kurtz, now with the Daily Beast, nailed the disparity when he said that although Irene did prove to be a Category 1 storm, causing significant disruption, it received Category 5 coverage into the weekend.

Jason Samenow, chief meteorologist with the Washington Post’s Capital Weather Gang, which is receiving kudos for its accurate and restrained reporting, said last night “that some cable anchors were still reporting that Irene could strike New Jersey and New York as a major hurricane long after his team determined that it clearly was weakening.”

It’s hard to actually look outside, easy to watch TV.

“You want to raise awareness of the possible worst-case scenarios in order to take the storm seriously – but in order to do so some media outlets resort to hysteria and hype,” Samenow said. He added that such reporting can be spun as a public service even as fear and hype drive the ultimate real goal of any for-profit venture like the Weather Channel (owned by Philadelphia’s Comcast), which is higher ratings.

“The gulf between informing people and exploiting this is very, very wide,” agreed Jeff Jarvis, director of the Tow-Knight Center for Entrepreneurial Journalism at City University of New York and a well-known media critic.

Indeed, but hurricane’s deliver reality, and that reality had shrunk to a tropical storm, instead of the Cat 5 predicted by the media. Why not just tell the truth?

The good news — For all, the truth won, the hurricane was a wimp.


Hurricane Forecasters, Blow It, Again

October 7, 2010

Despite dire predictions, naming every cloud puff, the public still sees the hurricane for what it is, a bust. Now how would they have known that? Simple just look at the strengthening El Nino and the world ocean sea surface temperatures. It’s getting cold out there. Satellites make truth easy — Tropical cyclones draw energy from warm sea water, and when it gets cold, hurricanes shiver and die off.

The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has been very active in the number of storms but is likely to go down as a non-event for most people in the United States, which has so far dodged a major landfall, the top official U.S. hurricane forecaster said on Tuesday.

Before the June 1-Nov. 30 season got under way, residents of hurricane danger zones were warned by many forecasters they faced a very high probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline.

That has not happened and with the most active part of the season winding down in the next two weeks or so, the chances of a major impact on the U.S. mainland or on energy interests in the Gulf of Mexico are ebbing.


QuikSCAT Antenna Fails: Likely Dead For Good

April 11, 2010

QuikSCAT is no longer in operation, according to NASA.  The satellite’s scatterometer antenna stopped spinning.  If the antenna cannot be restarted it will no longer be capable of taking sea surface measurements as it had been in the past.

The weather community is still debating the significance of QuikSCAT and a replacement satellite.

It’s unclear the true effects the loss of QuikSCAT will have on tropical cyclone forecasting.  But, one thing is sure: you can never have too many weapons in your forecasting arsenal.

NASA will continue to try and restart the antenna using various techniques. Considering the satellite was only supposed to last a few years but has been operational for 10, I suppose we should be thankful we got out of it what we could.


Blame It On El Nino

October 14, 2009

Iguess the forecasts were wrong, again? So tell me, what makes El Nino run? why that would be heat from the sun, wouldn’t it? ACE is at a 30 year low.

With the peak of the season — late August to mid-October — now behind, the Atlantic-Caribbean basin has seen just two hurricanes and a total of eight tropical storms.

El Nino, the Pacific warm-water phenomenon that can produce destructive weather in other parts of the world, played a big role in suppressing Atlantic cyclones this year, experts said.

If the full season, which runs from June through November, ended today, it would be the lowest number of storms since 1997. The last time an Atlantic season produced only two hurricanes was 1982.

Here is the ACE plot through 2009 season:

global_year_ace

ACE stands for Accumulated Cyclone Energy. The little wiggle at the end is because a few storms were tossed in that never even amounted to anything. They did not see to have tropical characteristics. hey, they got to do what they got to do, they get their funding from the same government sources as those perpetrating the hoax of AGW.


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